Anna Maria Jönsson
Prefekt
Projected effects of climate change and forest management on carbon fluxes and biomass of a boreal forest
Författare
Summary, in English
Boreal forests are key to global carbon (C) sequestration and storage. However, the potential impacts of climate change on these forests could be profound. Nearly 70 % of the European boreal forests are intensively managed, but our understanding of the combined effects of forest management and climate change on the forest's integral role as a C sink is still limited. In this study, we aim to fill this gap with simulations of the process-based dynamic global vegetation model LPJ-GUESS. We evaluated the effects of four forest management options under two different climate scenarios (RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5), at a southern boreal forest stand in Sweden. These options were compared against a baseline without clear-cut or management interventions. We found that the projected increase in temperatures (+2 to +4 °C) during the latter part of the 21st century will reduce the net C sink strength, particularly in the unmanaged forest. The standing biomass C for reforestations was projected to be 57–67 % lower in 2100 than in the old forest in 2022. The study also revealed that the C sequestration potential of replanted pine forests may surpass that of 200-years old forests in the far future (2076–2100). The study did not detect statistically significant differences in overall net C exchange between the clear-cut with subsequent reforestation options and the baseline, even though specific reforestation strategies, such as pine plantations, enhanced the overall net C sink by 7–20 % relative to the baseline during 2022–2100. These findings underscore the profound influence of forest management on the net C budget, surpassing that of climate change scenarios alone. By adopting pertinent reforestation strategies, C uptake could be augmented, with concurrently improved forest productivity, resulting in favourable outcomes for the forest's critical role in C sequestration and storage amidst a changing climate.
Avdelning/ar
- Centrum för miljö- och klimatvetenskap (CEC)
- LU profilområde: Naturbaserade framtidslösningar
- Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap
- BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate
- ICOS Sweden
- LTH profilområde: Aerosoler
- eSSENCE: The e-Science Collaboration
- MERGE: ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system
Publiceringsår
2024-04-15
Språk
Engelska
Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie
Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
Volym
349
Länkar
Dokumenttyp
Artikel i tidskrift
Förlag
Elsevier
Ämne
- Environmental Sciences
- Other Natural Sciences
Nyckelord
- Carbon compensation point (CCP)
- Climate scenario (RCP)
- Integrated Carbon Observation System (ICOS)
- Norunda SE-Nor, Sweden
- Process-based Dynamic Global Vegetation Model LPJ-GUESS
- Reforestation
Aktiv
Published
Projekt
- Climate costs of boreal forest clear-cutting – a multiscale experiment
ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt
- ISSN: 0168-1923