Publications
Displaying of publications. Sorted by year, then title.
Optimizing runoff simulation in three mid-high latitude catchments by integrating terrestrial ecosystem modelling, hybrid machine learning, and causal inference
Hao Zhou, Jing Tang, Stefan Olin, Renkui Guo, Paul A. Miller
(2026) Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 63
ArticlePhosphorus enrichment does not enlarge the predicted CO2 fertilization effect on forest carbon sequestration
Bin Wang, He Lyu, Xueqian Zhang, Mingkai Jiang, Belinda E. Medlyn, et al.
(2026) Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 123
ArticleBest practices in software development for robust and reproducible geoscientific models based on insights from the Global Carbon Budget's dynamic vegetation models
Konstantin Gregor, Benjamin F. Meyer, Tillmann Gaida, Victor Justo Vasquez, Karina Bett-Williams, et al.
(2026) Geoscientific Model Development, 19 p.2407-2436
Review articleImpacts of Tree Allometry on Structure, Composition, Functioning and Competitive Interactions in Savanna Ecosystems on the Northern Australian Tropical Transect
Prashant Paudel, Stefan Olin, Mark Tjoelker, Mikael Pontarp, Daniel Metcalfe, et al.
(2026) Journal of Biogeography, 53
ArticleEnvironmentally-dependent wood density influences forest structure and dynamics in a demographic vegetation model
Anna Kristina Voss, Stefan Olin, Hao Zhou, Patrick Fonti, Annemarie Hildegard Eckes-Shephard
(2026) Quantitative Plant Biology, 7
ArticleEnhancing carbon sinks in China using a spatially-optimized forestation strategy
Yanli Dong, Zhen Yu, Thomas Pugh, Evgenios Agathokleous, Fangmin Zhang, et al.
(2026) Nature Communications, 17
ArticleLand use modelling needs to better account for multiple cropping to inform pathways for sustainable agriculture
Katharina Waha, Christian Folberth, Hester Biemans, Esther Boere, Alberte Bondeau, et al.
(2025) Communications Earth and Environment, 6
ArticleClimate change rivals fertilizer use in driving soil nitrous oxide emissions in the northern high latitudes : Insights from terrestrial biosphere models
Naiqing Pan, Hanqin Tian, Hao Shi, Shufen Pan, Josep G. Canadell, et al.
(2025) Environment International, 196
ArticleImpacts of the 2019–2020 Black Summer Drought on Eastern Australian Forests
Nuwanthi Arampola, Belinda Medlyn, Samuel Hislop, Brendan Choat, Stefan Olin, et al.
(2025) Remote Sensing, 17
ArticleImportance of Spectral Information, Seasonality, and Topography on Land Cover Classification of Tropical Land Cover Mapping
Chansopheaktra Sovann, Stefan Olin, Ali Mansourian, Sakada Sakhoeun, Sovann Prey, et al.
(2025) Remote Sensing, 17
ArticleSoil nitrous oxide emissions from global land ecosystems and their drivers within the LPJ-GUESS model (v4.1)
Jianyong Ma, Almut Arneth, Benjamin Smith, Peter Anthoni, Xu-Ri Xu-Ri, et al.
(2025) Geoscientific Model Development, 18 p.3131–3155
ArticleDemography, dynamics and data : building confidence for simulating changes in the world's forests
Annemarie H. Eckes-Shephard, Arthur P.K. Argles, Bogdan Brzeziecki, Peter M. Cox, Martin G. De Kauwe, et al.
(2025) New Phytologist, 248 p.2722-2749
ArticleLand-cover change alters stand structure, species diversity, leaf functional traits, and soil conditions in Cambodian tropical forests
Chansopheaktra Sovann, Torbern Tagesson, Patrik Vestin, Sakada Sakhoeun, Soben Kim, et al.
(2025) Biogeosciences, 22 p.4649-4677
ArticleSavanna ecosystem structure and productivity along a rainfall gradient : The role of competition and stress tolerance mediated by plant functional traits
Prashant Paudel, Stefan Olin, Mark Tjoelker, Mikael Pontarp, Daniel Metcalfe, et al.
(2025) Biogeosciences, 22 p.6153-6171
ArticleIntegrating Multi-Level Sustainability and Ecosystem Integrity for Adaptive Scenario Planning in China
Yafei Wang, Yao He, Hao Zhou, Jan J. Kuiper, Murray Scown, et al.
(2025) Earth's Future, 13
ArticleAssessing Carbon Balance in European Forests Using a Dynamic Vegetation Model: Recent Trends and Drivers
Haoming Zhong, Annemarie Eckes-Shephard, Mats Lindeskog, Alba Viana-Soto, Cornelius Senf, et al.
(2025)
PosterA comprehensive evaluation of hydrological processes in a second-generation dynamic vegetation model
Hao Zhou, Jing Tang, Stefan Olin, Paul A. Miller
(2024) Hydrological Processes, 38
ArticleIncreasing global ecosystem respiration between 1982 and 2015 from Earth observation-based modelling
Torbern Tagesson, Julia Kelly, Guy Schurgers, Feng Tian, Jonas Ardö, et al.
(2024) Global Ecology and Biogeography, 33 p.116-130
ArticleOzone stress response of leaf BVOC emission and photosynthesis in mountain birch (Betula pubescens spp. czerepanovii) depends on leaf age
Erica Jaakkola, Heidi Hellén, Stefan Olin, Håkan Pleijel, Toni Tykkä, et al.
(2024) Plant-Environment Interactions, 5
ArticlePathways from research to sustainable development: Insights from ten research projects in sustainability and resilience
Anna Scaini, Joseph Mulligan, Håkan Berg, Albert Brangarí, Vera Bukachi, et al.
(2024) Ambio, 53 p.517–533
ArticleSubstantial Differences in Crop Yield Sensitivities Between Models Call for Functionality-Based Model Evaluation
Christoph Müller, Jonas Jägermeyr, James A. Franke, Alex C. Ruane, Juraj Balkovic, et al.
(2024) Earth's Future, 12
ArticleCrop model calibration at multiple spatial levels in southern Sweden using leaf area index, evapotranspiration and winter wheat yield data
Xueying Li, Wenxin Zhang, Minchao Wu, Hao Zhou, Stefan Olin, et al.
(2024)
PosterCarbon-phosphorus cycle models overestimate CO2enrichment response in a mature Eucalyptus forest
Mingkai Jiang, Belinda E. Medlyn, David Wårlind, Jürgen Knauer, Katrin Fleischer, et al.
(2024) Science Advances, 10
ArticleNatural decadal variability of global vegetation growth in relation to major decadal climate modes
Zhengyao Lu, Deliang Chen, Klaus Wyser, Ramón Fuentes-Franco, Stefan Olin, et al.
(2023) Environmental Research Letters, 18
ArticleEstimating the Global Influence of Cover Crops on Ecosystem Service Indicators in Croplands With the LPJ-GUESS Model
Jianyong Ma, Peter Anthoni, Stefan Olin, Sam S. Rabin, Anita D. Bayer, et al.
(2023) Earth's Future, 11
ArticleLong-term changes of nitrogen leaching and the contributions of terrestrial nutrient sources to lake eutrophication dynamics on the Yangtze Plain of China
Qi Guan, Jing Tang, Lian Feng, Stefan Olin, Guy Schurgers
(2023) Biogeosciences, 20 p.1635-1648
ArticleThe effect of charcoal production on carbon cycling in African biomes
Dabwiso Sakala, Stefan Olin, Maria J. Santos
(2023) GCB Bioenergy, 15 p.593-612
ArticleModelling crop yield and harvest index : the role of carbon assimilation and allocation parameters
Hector Camargo-Alvarez, Robert J.R. Elliott, Stefan Olin, Xuhui Wang, Chenzhi Wang, et al.
(2023) Modeling Earth Systems and Environment, 9 p.2617-2635
ArticleState-of-the-art capabilities in LPJ-GUESS
Annemarie Eckes-Shephard, Lars Nieradzik, Thomas Pugh, Adrian Gustafson, Mats Lindeskog, et al.
(2022)
PosterLPJ-GUESS/LSMv1.0 : A next-generation land surface model with high ecological realism
David Martín Belda, Peter Anthoni, David Wårlind, Stefan Olin, Guy Schurgers, et al.
(2022) Geoscientific Model Development, 15 p.6709-6745
ArticleClimate and parameter sensitivity and induced uncertainties in carbon stock projections for European forests (using LPJ-GUESS 4.0)
Johannes Oberpriller, Christine Herschlein, Peter Anthoni, Almut Arneth, Andreas Krause, et al.
(2022) Geoscientific Model Development, 15 p.6495-6519
ArticleAssessing the impacts of agricultural managements on soil carbon stocks, nitrogen loss, and crop production - a modelling study in eastern Africa
Jianyong Ma, Sam S. Rabin, Peter Anthoni, Anita D. Bayer, Sylvia S. Nyawira, et al.
(2022) Biogeosciences, 19 p.2145-2169
ArticleModeling symbiotic biological nitrogen fixation in grain legumes globally with LPJ-GUESS (v4.0, r10285)
Jianyong Ma, Stefan Olin, Peter Anthoni, Sam S. Rabin, Anita D. Bayer, et al.
(2022) Geoscientific Model Development, 15 p.815-839
ArticleAgricultural breadbaskets shift poleward given adaptive farmer behavior under climate change
James A Franke, Christoph Müller, Sara Minoli, Joshua Elliott, Christian Folberth, et al.
(2022) Global Change Biology, 28 p.167-181
ArticleLarge potential for crop production adaptation depends on available future varieties
Florian Zabel, Christoph Müller, Joshua Elliott, Sara Minoli, Jonas Jägermeyr, et al.
(2021) Global Change Biology, 27 p.3870-3882
ArticleNitrogen restricts future sub-Arctic treeline advance in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model
Adrian Gustafson, Paul A. Miller, Robert G. Björk, Stefan Olin, Benjamin Smith
(2021) Biogeosciences, 18 p.6329-6347
ArticleExploring uncertainties in global crop yield projections in a large ensemble of crop models and CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate scenarios
Christoph Müller, James Franke, Jonas Jägermeyr, Alex C. Ruane, Joshua Elliott, et al.
(2021) Environmental Research Letters, 16
ArticleGlobal irrigation contribution to wheat and maize yield
Xuhui Wang, Christoph Müller, Joshua Elliot, Nathaniel D. Mueller, Philippe Ciais, et al.
(2021) Nature Communications, 12
ArticleStrong regional influence of climatic forcing datasets on global crop model ensembles
Alex C. Ruane, Meridel Phillips, Christoph Müller, Joshua Elliott, Jonas Jägermeyr, et al.
(2021) Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 300
ArticleA physiology-based Earth observation model indicates stagnation in the global gross primary production during recent decades
Torbern Tagesson, Feng Tian, Guy Schurgers, Stephanie Horion, Robert Scholes, et al.
(2021) Global Change Biology, 27 p.836-854
ArticleRecent divergence in the contributions of tropical and boreal forests to the terrestrial carbon sink
Torbern Tagesson, Guy Schurgers, Stéphanie Horion, Philippe Ciais, Feng Tian, et al.
(2020) Nature Ecology and Evolution, 4 p.202–209
ArticleThe GGCMI Phase 2 experiment : Global gridded crop model simulations under uniform changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen levels (protocol version 1.0)
James A. Franke, Christoph Müller, Joshua Elliott, Alex C. Ruane, Jonas Jägermeyr, et al.
(2020) Geoscientific Model Development, 13 p.2315-2336
ArticleForeign demand for agricultural commodities drives virtual carbon exports from Cambodia
Emma Johansson, Stefan Olin, Jonathan Seaquist
(2020) Environmental Research Letters, 15
ArticleThe GGCMI Phase 2 emulators : Global gridded crop model responses to changes in CO2, temperature, water, and nitrogen (version 1.0)
James A. Franke, Christoph Müller, Joshua Elliott, Alex C. Ruane, Jonas Jägermeyr, et al.
(2020) Geoscientific Model Development, 13 p.3995-4018
ArticleA comprehensive quantification of global nitrous oxide sources and sinks
H. Tian, Stefan Olin, Y. Yao
(2020) Nature, 586 p.248-256
ArticleGlobal Response Patterns of Major Rainfed Crops to Adaptation by Maintaining Current Growing Periods and Irrigation
Sara Minoli, Christoph Müller, Joshua Elliott, Alex C. Ruane, Jonas Jägermeyr, et al.
(2019) Earth's Future, 7 p.1464-1480
ArticleParameterization-induced uncertainties and impacts of crop management harmonization in a global gridded crop model ensemble
Christian Folberth, Joshua Elliott, Christoph Müller, Juraj Balkovič, James Chryssanthacopoulos, et al.
(2019) PLoS ONE, 14
ArticleThe Global Gridded Crop Model Intercomparison phase 1 simulation dataset
Christoph Müller, Joshua Elliott, David Kelly, Almut Arneth, Juraj Balkovic, et al.
(2019) Scientific Data, 6
ArticleGlobal soil nitrous oxide emissions since the preindustrial era estimated by an ensemble of terrestrial biosphere models : Magnitude, attribution, and uncertainty
Hanqin Tian, Jia Yang, Rongting Xu, Chaoqun Lu, Josep G. Canadell, et al.
(2019) Global Change Biology, 25 p.640-659
ArticleImplications of accounting for management intensity on carbon and nitrogen balances of European grasslands
Jan Blanke, Niklas Boke-Olén, Stefan Olin, Jinfeng Chang, Ullrika Sahlin, et al.
(2018) PLoS ONE, 13
ArticleLarge uncertainty in carbon uptake potential of land-based climate-change mitigation efforts
Andreas Krause, Thomas A.M. Pugh, Anita D. Bayer, Wei Li, Felix Leung, et al.
(2018) Global Change Biology, 24 p.3025-3038
ArticleFood supply and bioenergy production within the global cropland planetary boundary
R. C. Henry, K. Engström, S. Olin, P. Alexander, A. Arneth, et al.
(2018) PLoS ONE, 13
ArticleDrivers of dissolved organic carbon export in a subarctic catchment : Importance of microbial decomposition, sorption-desorption, peatland and lateral flow
Jing Tang, Alla Y. Yurova, Guy Schurgers, Paul A. Miller, Stefan Olin, et al.
(2018) Science of the Total Environment, 622-623 p.260-274
ArticleFuture supply and demand of net primary production in the Sahel
Florian Sallaba, Stefan Olin, Kerstin Engström, Abdulhakim M. Abdi, Niklas Boke-Olén, et al.
(2017) Earth System Dynamics, 8 p.1191-1221
ArticleAssessing the impact of changes in land-use intensity and climate on simulated trade-offs between crop yield and nitrogen leaching
Jan Hendrik Blanke, Stefan Olin, Julia Stürck, Ullrika Sahlin, Mats Lindeskog, et al.
(2017) Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 239 p.385-398
ArticleGlobal gridded crop model evaluation : Benchmarking, skills, deficiencies and implications
Christoph Müller, Joshua Elliott, James Chryssanthacopoulos, Almut Arneth, Juraj Balkovic, et al.
(2017) Geoscientific Model Development, 10 p.1403-1422
ArticleUnderstanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability
Katja Frieler, Bernhard Schauberger, Almut Arneth, Juraj Balkovič, James Chryssanthacopoulos, et al.
(2017) Earth's Future, 5 p.605-616
ArticleImpacts of climate mitigation strategies in the energy sector on global land use and carbon balance
Kerstin Engström, Mats Lindeskog, Stefan Olin, John Hassler, Benjamin Smith
(2017) Earth System Dynamics, 8 p.773-799
ArticleGlobal consequences of afforestation and bioenergy cultivation on ecosystem service indicators
Andreas Krause, Thomas A.M. Pughl, Anita D. Bayer, Jonathan C. Doelman, Florian Humpenöder, et al.
(2017) Biogeosciences, 14 p.4829-4850
ArticleTrends and uncertainties in budburst projections of Norway spruce in Northern Europe
Cecilia Olsson, Stefan Olin, Johan Lindström, Anna Maria Jönsson
(2017) Ecology and Evolution, 7 p.9954-9969
ArticleRegional disparities in the beneficial effects of rising CO2 concentrations on crop water productivity
Delphine Deryng, Joshua Elliott, Christian Folberth, Christoph Müller, Thomas A M Pugh, et al.
(2016) Nature Climate Change, 6 p.786-790
ArticleAssessing uncertainties in global cropland futures using a conditional probabilistic modelling framework
Kerstin Engström, Stefan Olin, Mark D A Rounsevell, Sara Brogaard, Detlef P. Van Vuuren, et al.
(2016) Earth System Dynamics, 7 p.893-915
ArticleClimate analogues suggest limited potential for intensification of production on current croplands under climate change
T. A M Pugh, C. Müller, J. Elliott, D. Deryng, C. Folberth, et al.
(2016) Nature Communications, 7
ArticleAccounting for interannual variability in agricultural intensification : The potential of crop selection in Sub-Saharan Africa
P. Bodin, S. Olin, T. A M Pugh, A. Arneth
(2016) Agricultural Systems, 148 p.159-168
ArticleFuture vegetation-climate interactions in Eastern Siberia: an assessment of the competing effects of CO2 and Secondary Organic Aerosols
Almut Arneth, R. Makkonen, Stefan Olin, Pauli Paasonen, Thomas Holst, et al.
(2016) Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 16 p.5243-5262
ArticleEcosystems in the Anthropocene: the role of cropland management for carbon and nitrogen cycle processes
Stefan Olin
(2015)
Doctoral Thesis (compilation)Simulated carbon emissions from land-use change are substantially enhanced by accounting for agricultural management
T. A. M. Pugh, A. Arneth, Stefan Olin, Anders Ahlström, A. D. Bayer, et al.
(2015) Environmental Research Letters, 10
ArticleSoil carbon management in large-scale Earth system modelling: implications for crop yields and nitrogen leaching
Stefan Olin, Mats Lindeskog, T. A. M. Pugh, G. Schurgers, David Wårlind, et al.
(2015) Earth System Dynamics, 6 p.745-768
ArticleModelling the response of yields and tissue C:N to changes in atmospheric CO2 and N management in the main wheat regions of western Europe
Stefan Olin, Guy Schurgers, Mats Lindeskog, David Wårlind, Benjamin Smith, et al.
(2015) Biogeosciences, 12 p.2489-2515
ArticleInvestigating the influence of two different flow routing algorithms on soil–water–vegetation interactions using the dynamic ecosystem model LPJ-GUESS
Jing Tang, Paul Miller, Patrick M. Crill, Stefan Olin, Petter Pilesjö
(2015) Ecohydrology, 8 p.570-583
ArticleOptimizing cropland cover for stable food production in Sub-Saharan Africa using simulated yield and Modern Portfolio Theory
Per Bodin, Stefan Olin, Thomas Alan Miller Pugh, Almut Arneth
(2014) Earth System Dynamics Discussion, 5 p.1571-1606
ArticleImplications of accounting for land use in simulations of ecosystem carbon cycling in Africa
Mats Lindeskog, A. Arneth, A. Bondeau, K. Waha, Jonathan Seaquist, et al.
(2013) Earth System Dynamics, 4 p.385-407
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