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Time series analysis and vegetation phenology

Phenology is the responses of biological organisms to seasonal variations in environmental factors like light, temperature and precipitation. Changing growing seasons are important indicators of changes in the climate system.

Even short-term variations might indicate disturbances that may seriously affect production and health of the vegetation. Monitoring phenology with satellites is a way of improving our knowledge about vegetation-climate interactions.

We develop time series methods for accurate description of satellite-observed phenology (land surface phenology) over large areas. We utilize coarser (like MODIS) and finer (Sentinel-2) resolution satellite sensor data, to map variability of phenological parameters across time and space. This information is useful for understanding vegetation response to climate variations and longer-term change. Further, it provides information on vegetation productivity as input into models of gross primary productivity for estimation of vegetation’s role on the carbon cycle.

Main activity fields


• The TIMESAT software system for estimation of phenological parameters from time-series of satellite sensor data. 
More information on TIMESAT

• The Plant Phenology Index (PPI). This index provides a way to estimate photosynthetically active leaf area index from red and NIR satellite observations. It has proven superior to traditional vegetation indices for vegetation phenology estimation. 
Article on the topic 

• Development of Land Surface Phenology datasets for Europe and globally for the Copernicus Land Monitoring System (CLMS) based TIMESAT, PPI and date from Sentinel-2, PROBA-V and Sentinel-3 (Figure 1). 
Read more in the Research Portal  here and here

• Trend analysis and assessment of vegetation resources in several project and at different spatial and temporal scales, e.g. in collaboration with the European Space Agency (ESA). 
 

Illustration: Start of growing season 2023 from the Copernicus Global Land Service Land Surface Phenology dataset.
Figure 1. Start of growing season 2023 from the Copernicus Global Land Service Land Surface Phenology dataset. Credit: Hongxiao Jin, Lars Eklundh

People

Lars Eklundh
Hongxiao Jin
Zhanzhang Cai
Sadegh Jamali (sadegh [dot] jamali [at] tft [dot] lth [dot] se)