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The dominant role of semi-arid ecosystems in the trend and variability of the land CO2 sink

  • Anders Ahlström
  • Michael R. Raupach
  • Guy Schurgers
  • Benjamin Smith
  • Almut Arneth
  • Martin Jung
  • Markus Reichstein
  • Josep G. Canadell
  • Pierre Friedlingstein
  • Atul K. Jain
  • Etsushi Kato
  • Benjamin Poulter
  • Stephen Sitch
  • Benjamin D. Stocker
  • Nicolas Viovy
  • Ying Ping Wang
  • Andy Wiltshire
  • Sönke Zaehle
  • Ning Zeng
Publishing year: 2015
Language: English
Pages: 895-899
Publication/Series: Science
Volume: 348
Issue: 6237
Document type: Journal article
Publisher: The American Association for the Advancement of Science

Abstract english

The growth rate of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations since industrialization is characterized by large interannual variability, mostly resulting from variability in CO2 uptake by terrestrial ecosystems (typically termed carbon sink). However, the contributions of regional ecosystems to that variability are not well known. Using an ensemble of ecosystem and land-surface models and an empirical observation-based product of global gross primary production, we show that the mean sink, trend, and interannual variability in CO2 uptake by terrestrial ecosystems are dominated by distinct biogeographic regions. Whereas the mean sink is dominated by highly productive lands (mainly tropical forests), the trend and interannual variability of the sink are dominated by semi-arid ecosystems whose carbon balance is strongly associated with circulation-driven variations in both precipitation and temperature.


  • Physical Geography


  • ISSN: 1095-9203
Anders Ahlström
E-mail: anders [dot] ahlstrom [at] nateko [dot] lu [dot] se

Associate senior lecturer

Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science

+46 73 202 84 87



Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science
Lund University
Sölvegatan 12
S-223 62 Lund

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