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Anders Ahlström

Anders Ahlström

Senior lecturer

Anders Ahlström

Higher carbon storage in primary than secondary boreal forests in Sweden

Author

  • Didac Pascual
  • Gustaf Hugelius
  • Josep G. Canadell
  • Jennifer Harden
  • Robert B. Jackson
  • Katerina Georgiou
  • Anders Jonshagen
  • Johan Lindström
  • Karl Ljung
  • Emily Register
  • Camille Volle
  • Johanna Asch
  • Ulrika Ervander
  • Geerte Fälthammar de Jong
  • Jia Sun
  • Anders Ahlström

Summary, in English

INTRODUCTION
Boreal forests are crucial for mitigating global climate change by capturing and storing large amounts of atmospheric carbon dioxide. However, previously unmanaged primary boreal forests are being rapidly transformed to managed secondary forests to meet the rising global demand for materials and energy. Understanding the effects of boreal primary to managed secondary forest transformations on carbon (C) storage is critical for constraining the global C budget and for evaluating the potential of northern forests in climate change mitigation strategies, which include considerations of increased biomass use for energy and materials.
RATIONALE
Previous attempts to quantify the impacts of boreal primary to managed secondary forest transformations have been hampered by limited C storage observations. The high spatial heterogeneity in environmental characteristics and historical land use in boreal areas adds to the uncertainty and calls for regional studies. We combined Sweden’s national forest inventory data with extensive field inventories of live trees, deadwood, and soils to estimate C storage in primary and managed secondary forests in Sweden. We used multiple methods to estimate the C storage difference between primary and managed secondary forests. We added estimates of missing data on deadwood C stored in stubs and roots left on site after harvest and C stored in harvested wood products for managed secondary forests, which allowed us to compare the land C storage in primary and managed forest systems.
RESULTS
We found that primary forests store ~72% more C than managed secondary forests in vegetation, deadwood, soils, and harvested wood products combined (land C storage). Among the compartments, soils constitute both the largest C store and the largest difference between primary and managed secondary forests. Our estimated difference in land C storage between primary and managed secondary forests in Sweden is 2.7 to 8.0 times larger than reported in global state-of-the-art data-driven studies and bookkeeping models informing the Global Carbon Project.
CONCLUSION
Although the high-intensity forest management common in Sweden implies that our results may not be directly transferable to the broader boreal biome, they suggest that previous estimates have substantially underestimated the C cost of transforming primary to managed secondary boreal forests. Our findings suggest that preservation and conservation of European boreal forests may be more effective as a climate change mitigation strategy than previously thought.

Department/s

  • Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences (MGeo)
  • MERGE: ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system
  • BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate
  • LU Profile Area: Nature-based future solutions
  • LTH Profile Area: Aerosols
  • eSSENCE: The e-Science Collaboration
  • Mathematical Statistics
  • Dept of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science

Publishing year

2026

Language

English

Pages

1256-1261

Publication/Series

Science

Volume

391

Issue

6791

Document type

Article

Publisher

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Topic

  • Climate Science
  • Physical Geography

Status

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Other

  • ISSN: 1095-9203