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Minchao Wu

Forskare

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Threats of projected changes in fire regime for newly affected areas in Europe and Northern Africa

Författare

  • Kirsten Thonicke
  • Arneth Almut
  • Wolfgang Knorr
  • Minchao Wu
  • Nikolaos Fyllas

Redaktör

  • José M. Moreno

Summary, in English

Under climate change conditions, climatic wildfire danger could also increase in ecosystems not dominated by fires until now. This increasing trend could lead to more area burned in the future. We have developed an algorithm to map new fire-prone areas in Europe and Northern Africa that identifies grid points where a rare fire event is becoming the mean at the end of the 21st century. When applying the model to simulated changes in future fire regimes it revealed that these new fire-prone areas would be found mostly in Eastern Europe. Depending on the climate scenario and vegetation-fire model used, it could also extend to central and South-Eastern Europe.

Avdelning/ar

  • Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap

Publiceringsår

2014-01-01

Språk

Engelska

Sidor

34-35

Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie

Forest fires under climate, social and economic changes in Europe, the Mediterranean and other fire-affected areas of the world

Dokumenttyp

Del av eller Kapitel i bok

Förlag

FUME

Ämne

  • Earth and Related Environmental Sciences

Status

Published

Projekt

  • Land-atmosphere interactions and regional Earth system dynamics due to natural and anthropogenic vegetation changes

ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt

  • ISBN: 978-84-695-9759-0