Webbläsaren som du använder stöds inte av denna webbplats. Alla versioner av Internet Explorer stöds inte längre, av oss eller Microsoft (läs mer här: * https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-365/windows/end-of-ie-support).

Var god och använd en modern webbläsare för att ta del av denna webbplats, som t.ex. nyaste versioner av Edge, Chrome, Firefox eller Safari osv.

Default user image.

David Wårlind

Forskare

Default user image.

Evaluation of soil carbon dynamics after forest cover change in CMIP6 land models using chronosequences

Författare

  • Lena R. Boysen
  • Victor Brovkin
  • David Warlind
  • Daniele Peano
  • Anne Sofie Lanso
  • Christine Delire
  • Eleanor Burke
  • Christopher Poeplau
  • Axel Don

Summary, in English

Land surface models are used to provide global estimates of soil organic carbon (SOC) changes after past and future change land use change (LUC), in particular re-/deforestation. To evaluate how well the models capture decadal-scale changes in SOC after LUC, we provide the first consistent comparison of simulated time series of LUC by six land models all of which participated in the coupled model intercomparison project phase 6 (CMIP6) with soil carbon chronosequences (SCCs). For this comparison we use SOC measurements of adjacent plots at four high-quality data sites in temperate and tropical regions. We find that initial SOC stocks differ among models due to different approaches to represent SOC. Models generally meet the direction of SOC change after reforestation of cropland but the amplitude and rate of changes vary strongly among them. The normalized root mean square errors of the multi model mean range from 0.5 to 0.8 across sites and 0.1-0.7 when excluding outliers. Further, models simulate SOC losses after deforestation for crop or grassland too slow due to the lack of crop harvest impacts in the models or an overestimation of the SOC recovery on grassland. The representation of management, especially nitrogen levels is important to capture drops in SOC after land abandonment for forest regrowth. Crop harvest and fire management are important to match SOC dynamics but more difficult to quantify as SCC rarely report on these events. Based on our findings, we identify strengths and propose potential improvements of the applied models in simulating SOC changes after LUC.

Avdelning/ar

  • Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap
  • eSSENCE: The e-Science Collaboration
  • MERGE: ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system
  • BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate

Publiceringsår

2021

Språk

Engelska

Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie

Environmental Research Letters

Volym

16

Issue

7

Dokumenttyp

Artikel i tidskrift

Förlag

IOP Publishing

Ämne

  • Earth and Related Environmental Sciences

Nyckelord

  • chronosequences
  • land use change
  • model-data intercomparison
  • soil carbon

Status

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt

  • ISSN: 1748-9318