Webbläsaren som du använder stöds inte av denna webbplats. Alla versioner av Internet Explorer stöds inte längre, av oss eller Microsoft (läs mer här: * https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-365/windows/end-of-ie-support).

Var god och använd en modern webbläsare för att ta del av denna webbplats, som t.ex. nyaste versioner av Edge, Chrome, Firefox eller Safari osv.

Default user image.

Paul Miller

Universitetslektor

Default user image.

Climatic Disequilibrium Threatens Conservation Priority Forests

Författare

  • Brian Huntley
  • Judy R. M. Allen
  • Jonathan Bennie
  • Yvonne C. Collingham
  • Paul A. Miller
  • Andrew J. Suggitt

Summary, in English

We test the hypothesis that climatic changes since 1800 have resulted in unrealized potential vegetation changes that represent a "climatic debt" for many ecosystems. Caledonian pinewoods, an EU priority forest type, are used as a model system to explore potential impacts of two centuries of climatic change upon sites of conservation importance and surrounding landscapes. Using methods that estimate topographic microclimate, current and preindustrial climates were estimated for 50 m grid cells and simulations made using a dynamic vegetation model. Core Caledonian pinewood areas are now less suitable for growth of pine and more favorable for oak than in 1800, whereas landscapes as a whole are on average more favorable for both. The most favorable areas for pine are now mainly outside areas designated to conserve historical pinewoods. A paradigm shift is needed in formulating conservation strategies to avoid catastrophic losses of this habitat, and of many others globally with trees or other long-lived perennials as keystone species.

Avdelning/ar

  • Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap
  • eSSENCE: The e-Science Collaboration
  • BECC: Biodiversity and Ecosystem services in a Changing Climate
  • MERGE: ModElling the Regional and Global Earth system

Publiceringsår

2018-01

Språk

Engelska

Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie

Conservation Letters

Volym

11

Issue

1

Dokumenttyp

Artikel i tidskrift

Förlag

Wiley-Blackwell

Ämne

  • Climate Research
  • Ecology

Nyckelord

  • Caledonian pinewoods
  • Climatic debt
  • Ecological inertia
  • LPJ-GUESS
  • Preindustrial climate
  • Scotland
  • Special areas of conservation

Status

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt

  • ISSN: 1755-263X