Webbläsaren som du använder stöds inte av denna webbplats. Alla versioner av Internet Explorer stöds inte längre, av oss eller Microsoft (läs mer här: * https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/microsoft-365/windows/end-of-ie-support).

Var god och använd en modern webbläsare för att ta del av denna webbplats, som t.ex. nyaste versioner av Edge, Chrome, Firefox eller Safari osv.

Default user image.

Martin Sykes

Professor emeritus

Default user image.

Biodiversity - Global biodiversity scenarios for the year 2100

Författare

  • O E Sala
  • F S Chapin
  • J J Armesto
  • E Berlow
  • J Bloomfield
  • R Dirzo
  • E Huber-Sanwald
  • L F Huenneke
  • R B Jackson
  • A Kinzig
  • R Leemans
  • D M Lodge
  • H A Mooney
  • M Oesterheld
  • N L Poff
  • Martin Sykes
  • B H Walker
  • M Walker
  • D H Wall

Summary, in English

Scenarios of changes in biodiversity for the year 2100 can now be developed based on scenarios of changes in atmospheric carbon dioxide, climate, vegetation, and Land use and the known sensitivity of biodiversity to these changes. This study identified a ranking of the importance of drivers of change, a ranking of the biomes with respect to expected changes, and the major sources of uncertainties. For terrestrial ecosystems, land-use change probably wilt have the largest effect, followed by climate change, nitrogen deposition, biotic exchange, and elevated carbon dioxide concentration. For freshwater ecosystems, biotic exchange is much more important. Mediterranean climate and grassland ecosystems likely will experience the greatest proportional change in biodiversity because of the substantial influence of all drivers of biodiversity change. Northern temperate ecosystems are estimated to experience the least biodiversity change because major land-use change has already occurred. Plausible changes in biodiversity in other biomes depend on interactions among the causes of biodiversity change. These interactions represent one of the largest uncertainties in projections of future biodiversity change.

Avdelning/ar

  • Institutionen för naturgeografi och ekosystemvetenskap

Publiceringsår

2000

Språk

Engelska

Sidor

1770-1774

Publikation/Tidskrift/Serie

Science

Volym

287

Issue

5459

Dokumenttyp

Artikel i tidskrift

Förlag

American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)

Ämne

  • Physical Geography

Status

Published

ISBN/ISSN/Övrigt

  • ISSN: 1095-9203